Data Analysts Have Already Predicted Final 2025-26 Premier League Table

Data analysts at OLBG have already run the numbers for the 2025/26 Premier League season, and the early predictions make for a fascinating sneak peek into the future. With Liverpool now officially crowned champions, the relegation trapdoor firmly shut behind three unfortunate clubs, and Leeds United and Burnley gearing up for their long-awaited return to the promised land, the spotlight is already shifting toward next season’s drama.

Indeed, this doesn’t even factor in the looming transfer shake-ups or the two remaining promotion places still up for grabs in the Championship before the curtain falls on the current season. But football never hits pause for long, which is why the crystal ball is already being dusted off to glimpse what might lie ahead in next year’s chapter.

Liverpool fans will have plenty to smile about if the predictions hold, but for Tottenham, Manchester United, and Arsenal, it’s shaping up to be another season they’d sooner skip in the highlight reel – each for their own varying reasons.

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Liverpool Tipped To Retain Premier League Title

Arsenal are expected to finish second for a fourth successive season

The Reds are already sowing the seeds of a summer transfer window like no other in their history, with genuine interest being held in Alexander Isak, Milos Kerkez, and Xavi Simons, just to name a few. According to the latest simulations, this should be enough to see Arne Slot mastermind the unthinkable and guide Liverpool to back-to-back league triumphs in his first two seasons in the cockpit of Anfield.

With a projected 56.3% chance of repeating this season’s triumph, Liverpool are tipped to secure their 21st English league title, solidifying their status as the nation’s most decorated club. Meanwhile, Arsenal look set for a frustrating fourth consecutive runners-up finish, holding a 41.4% title probability, while Manchester City are forecast to land third with a 37.2% shot at reclaiming their former glory.

Newcastle & Aston Villa Fight For Champions League

Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth just miss out

With an 18.7% shot at finishing inside the top four, the Eddie Howe project at Newcastle United looks set to keep gaining momentum and finally add a touch of consistency to its growing list of accomplishments. After lifting the League Cup this term – ending an infamous 70-year trophy drought – the simulation sees the Magpies finishing fourth, just edging out Chelsea, who are predicted to snatch the final Champions League spot.

Aston Villa, having made an impressive run to the quarter-finals of Europe’s top competition in their first continental campaign in 30 years, are expected to be in the mix for a top-five finish once again. However, projections suggest they’ll slip to sixth and settle for a Europa League berth. Not that Unai Emery will lose sleep over that, as he’s already claimed the trophy four times and would surely relish a shot at adding a fifth.

This season’s surprise package, Nottingham Forest, round out the list of clubs predicted to finish in the top seven. But with a marginal 2% risk of relegation also hovering, Nuno Espirito Santo’s men will be keenly aware of the razor-thin line between building on their breakout season and slipping back toward familiar struggles. The former is what Bournemouth and Crystal Palace are expected to achieve as they polish off the top 10 alongside Brentford.

Tottenham & Man United Struggle To Overcome Mid-table Frailties

Both so-called ‘big six’ clubs have a better chance of relegation than rejoice

Fulham fans discovering they’re projected to finish 11th will likely greet the news with a collective shrug – an anticlimax for the Craven Cottage faithful, who may be quietly disappointed their early-season promise fizzled out before it could blossom into something more meaningful. The real frustration, though, is reserved for supporters of Tottenham and Manchester United, whose clubs appear trapped in mid-table mediocrity with no immediate escape in sight.

Ruben Amorim recently branded this Man United squad “the worst in the club’s history,” and if the simulation’s prediction of a 12th-place finish proves accurate, it’s hard to argue. The 20-time league champions are already on course for a record-low finish this season, so any further regression next term would only deepen the gloom around Old Trafford. They’re currently slapped with a damning 8.9% chance of relegation.

Tottenham’s projected 13th-place finish won’t come as a shock, especially with the cloud of managerial uncertainty looming large. With Ange Postecoglou announcing his intention to step down regardless of a potential Europa League triumph, it’s hardly surprising the Lilywhites are tipped to drift deeper into mid-table anonymity.

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Everton, on the other hand, might cautiously welcome a 14th-place finish as they attempt to steady the ship amid ongoing financial concerns. With the Texas-based Friedkin Group now at the helm and a long-anticipated move to the new Bramley-Moore Dock stadium on the horizon, the Toffees are clearly in the midst of laying down long-term foundations.

Brighton & Hove Albion, however, would be bitterly disappointed with a predicted 15th-place slump, possibly signalling the slowdown of a once-golden recruitment and development conveyor belt. Wolves, with a 24.7% chance of relegation, find themselves narrowly avoid the last remaining safety spot.

That dubious honour goes to West Ham, who sit 17th with a 25.1% relegation probability. As life after David Moyes continues to unravel, it’s proving to be a cautionary tale about wishing for change – because sometimes, you get exactly what you asked for.

Leeds United, Burnley & Sheffield Utd are projected to finish below the dotted line

Much like this season, the forecast sees all three promoted sides making only a fleeting visit to the Premier League before being sent straight back down to the Championship. According to the simulation, Sheffield United are set to join Burnley and Leeds United in returning to the top flight – only to face the drop again a year later.

Only four seasons – 2001/02, 2011/12, 2017/18, and 2022/23 – have seen all three promoted clubs avoid relegation. But with the gulf between the Premier League and the Championship widening year by year, it’s becoming increasingly difficult for newcomers to do more than just leave a temporary imprint on England’s biggest stage as a pattern emerges. See the full simulated table for the 2025/26 Premier League below: